Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 769.555719 868.897249 980.024626 1114.279393 1273.051261 1456.036825 1684.628907
2025-02-09 633.160016 764.028102 923.759565 1135.960708 1414.914746 1775.571257 2288.100638
2025-02-16 550.874340 691.435678 872.249453 1127.099151 1485.803609 1986.818457 2766.519701
2025-02-23 504.867812 655.149443 857.353369 1157.520368 1606.801606 2280.974878 3426.170024
2025-03-02 469.908202 627.158290 847.000343 1188.415270 1728.214276 2593.227602 4190.063903
2025-03-09 435.525311 594.996818 825.219184 1196.790334 1812.988955 2860.139021 4947.641947
2025-03-16 402.011831 560.017850 794.368467 1185.245182 1860.924451 3070.683983 5658.424748
2025-03-23 380.734960 540.721320 784.492277 1204.840612 1963.181210 3397.584256 6709.516960
2025-03-30 350.193889 504.372040 743.965902 1167.407849 1956.232593 3512.364935 7328.240764
2025-04-06 324.216996 472.930552 708.214155 1133.558812 1949.951583 3625.847000 7982.410726
2025-04-13 300.190415 442.726222 671.779095 1094.163837 1926.642756 3697.914029 8556.883173
2025-04-20 292.260810 437.769001 676.822305 1130.358883 2059.252541 4143.043025 10345.591168
2025-04-27 281.404110 427.788495 673.432815 1152.510518 2171.584517 4582.712533 12396.504113
2025-05-04 270.085980 416.249927 666.416711 1167.165076 2271.619158 5024.248380 14745.683278
2025-05-11 256.667287 400.039497 649.453030 1159.609388 2319.700423 5343.157028 16868.613749
2025-05-18 249.751951 394.541591 651.407298 1190.819987 2464.524455 5976.179628 20765.003527
2025-05-25 243.416842 389.540360 653.724006 1222.936471 2618.090714 6690.111722 25740.720858
2025-06-01 234.685982 379.597873 645.732592 1231.609828 2713.796978 7258.842539 30639.744551
2025-06-08 224.271459 365.902963 629.353084 1219.635988 2752.705986 7654.028930 35052.709152
2025-06-15 218.163501 359.739487 627.263961 1239.964382 2884.726578 8432.088792 43075.935885
2025-06-22 206.326679 342.175081 601.071040 1201.133405 2841.528494 8542.214883 46504.097827
2025-06-29 195.704289 326.353397 577.394821 1166.030942 2804.028753 8667.256988 50338.567291
2025-07-06 185.229733 310.304172 552.283105 1125.190758 2743.428828 8683.505722 53366.282907